This project is by Professor Thomas Krueger, Chair of Accounting and Finance Department at Texas A&M University – Kingsville
STOCK-TRAK Simulation
Part 1: Preliminary Report
STEPS:
- Complete a four-page description of your investment plans using the topics below as an outline (20 + 5 points)
- Summarize your Strategy, filling in the blocks on this page (5 points; 3 + 2 for forecasts)
- Staple #2 on #1 and turn in complete report
Due Date: September 23 (1 point deduction per class period after 9/23)
Team Members ________________________________________________________________
Preliminary Outline:
- Selection Criteria
- Summary of Selection Criteria within Investment Policy (3 points)
- High Return/Risk vs. Low Risk/Return
- Active trading v. Buy-and holding
- Stock v. Bond (v. Options/Futures)
- Economic/political sensitivities
- Special industries vs. Broad diversification
- Selection criteria within industry
- Timing & Margin
- Market v. Limit order
- Cash v. Margin account
- Current income vs. Capital appreciation
- Direct v. Indirect Investment
- During the simulation, what do you expect to be the rate of return on (1/2 point each):
- Common stocks (i.e., S&P 500)?
- Treasury bonds (sum of coupon payments & price change)?
- Other considerations
Include at least 5 citations from the Internet, Wall Street Journal, Fortune, etc.
During the simulation, what do you expect to be the rate of return on (1/2 point each):
Common stocks (i.e., S&P 500)? __________
Treasury bonds (sum of coupon payments & price change)? __________
Include at least 5 citations from the Internet, Wall Street Journal, Fortune, etc. (+5) ß
Part 1 Rubric
Grade Sheet STOCK-TRAK Initial Strategy Report | ||
Grading Dimension | Possible Points | Your Score |
Cover Sheet Summary | 3 | |
Forecast for common stocks and Treasury bonds | 2 | |
Detailed Analysis of: High Return/Risk v. Low Risk/Return |
2 | |
Active trading v. Buy-and holding | 2 | |
Stock v. Bond (v. Options/Futures) | 2 | |
Economic/political sensitivities | 2 | |
Special industries v. Broad diversification | 2 | |
Selection criteria within industry | 2 | |
Timing & Margin -Market v. Limit / Cash v. Margin account |
2 | |
Current income v. Capital appreciation | 2 | |
Direct v. Indirect Investment | 2 | |
Other Considerations | 2 | |
Citation Use – Minimum of 5 | 5 | |
Total Score | 30 |
Due 10/21
Part 2: Mid-Semester Report
Fundamental Analysis & Technical Analysis
1. List the two most important criteria in your selection process and note whether they are fundamental or technical (price & volume related) factors. (4 points)
Primary Factor: ______________________________ Technical or Fundamental? _______________
Second Factor: _______________________________ Technical or Fundamental? _______________
2. Identify your three largest investments (long or short sales), in dollar terms, to date and justify their selection on the basis of your criteria. (3 points)
Choice | Selection Criteria |
a. | |
b. | |
c. |
3. For these three largest investments calculate the holding period returns for each in dollars and percentage terms. (4.5 points)
Investment |
Holding Period Return in Dollars |
Holding Period Return in % terms |
a. | ||
b. | ||
c. |
4. Using the Wall Street Journal’s “Markets Diary”, Markets Lineup”, “Markets by the Slice,” or “International Stock Market Indexes,” or prime competitor note, whether the three investments beat the return on a relevant benchmark. (4.5 points)
Comparative Investment/benchmark | Benchmark’s Holding Period Return in % terms | Did you do better or worse than Benchmark? |
a. | ||
b. | ||
c. |
5. On a separate, typed sheet, list and discuss the major event(s) or condition(s) (company, industry, macroeconomic factors) that resulted in better or worse performance for each of your three largest investments. (6 points)
6. On the line’s below, list at least one mutual fund, option and futures contract that you think would be a good investment and explain your selection. (3 points)
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Part 3: Final Stock-Trak Simulation Report
TEAM: _________________________________________________________
Grading Dimension | Possible Score | Your Score | |
Opening Strategy – Specify and support strategy- Relate to original selection |
2 |
| |
Portfolio Revision – Specify and support changes |
2 |
| |
NOTES to Opening Strategy and Portfolio Revision: If you did not revise strategy, support decision to maintain original selectionAnswer the following questions: – Why were certain securities chosen, but not others?– Why were certain firms in an industry chosen, but not others? – What rate of return were you anticipating? | |||
Performance Evaluation a. Largest Stock Investment, – If largest stock is “b” or “c”, add 2nd largest stock b. Investment with greatest gain c. Investment with greatest loss, and d. Entire portfolio Include: i. Holding period returns ($, %) & Evaluation of timing ability (Buy near simulation period’s low or high?) ii. Market-excess returns (Benchmark return over same holding period) & Comparison to other investments (Alternative shares, bonds, futures) iii. Risk-adjusted returns (Stock – Treynor/Jensen, Bond/Future/Option/Portfolio: Sharpe) |
12 |
| |
Proposed future investment strategy – Choices for the next six months – Choices for a 5-year investment horizonNote 1: Identify specific investmentsNote 2: Justify forecasting firm/industry/economy |
2 |
| |
Report presentation – Grammar, Spelling, Clarity (subheadings) – CitationsBonus Points: Effective use of Illustrations |
2 |
| |
20 |
Length: 4-6 typed pages